{"id":91,"date":"2019-02-24T19:05:58","date_gmt":"2019-02-24T19:05:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/?page_id=91"},"modified":"2019-03-21T17:42:12","modified_gmt":"2019-03-21T17:42:12","slug":"scenarios","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/?page_id=91","title":{"rendered":"Scenarios"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Scenarios<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2013 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/ortec.com\/nl-nl\/\" target=\"_blank\">Ortec Finance<\/a> together with <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"The Digital Thinking Network (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"http:\/\/dtn.net\" target=\"_blank\">The Digital Thinking Network<\/a> developed scenarios to explore the next decade ahead for Pension Systems.  This scenario framework is encapsulated below, as well as a short compilation of expert interviews.  The global expert interviews brought together technologists, environmentalists, leaders in the pension industry, risk managers, etc. to gain real overview of the shifts in the field.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The entire project comprised about 500 pages of research. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"570\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-1024x570.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-1024x570.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-768x428.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-830x462.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-230x128.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-350x195.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/screenshot_416-480x267.png 480w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>A short compilation is listed bellow:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video aligncenter\"><video height=\"576\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 720 \/ 576;\" width=\"720\" controls src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/OrtecFinanceCompilationV1-1.mov\"><\/video><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the expert interviews we developed a framework of three deep questions resulting in four scenarios.  These scenarios will be discussed in full in the Early Warning System workshop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-1024x701.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-168\" width=\"1105\" height=\"756\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-1024x701.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-300x205.png 300w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-768x525.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-830x568.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-230x157.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-350x239.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14-480x328.png 480w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-14.png 1602w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1105px) 100vw, 1105px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-194\" width=\"925\" height=\"159\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17.png 990w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-300x52.png 300w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-768x133.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-830x143.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-230x40.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-350x60.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/image-17-480x83.png 480w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 925px) 100vw, 925px\" \/><figcaption>Scenario Overview Table <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/screenshot_204-1024x206.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5\" width=\"1024\" height=\"192\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Below are tabled system diagrams developed to determine the causal (and systemic) coherency for each of the scenarios. This methodology combines natural language systems diagrams with causal diagrams to give overview of the logic system underpinning each scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-1003x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-246\" width=\"675\" height=\"689\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-1003x1024.png 1003w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-294x300.png 294w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-768x784.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-830x847.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-230x235.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-350x357.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation-480x490.png 480w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Standardisation.png 1822w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 675px) 100vw, 675px\" \/><figcaption>DTN Future of Pension Funds 2025+ Scenarios (Ortec) &#8211; Standardisation<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"708\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-708x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-245\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-708x1024.png 708w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-207x300.png 207w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-768x1112.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-830x1201.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-230x333.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-350x507.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism-480x695.png 480w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Individualism.png 1802w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><figcaption>DTN Future of Pension Funds 2025+ Scenarios (Ortec) &#8211; Individualism<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-566x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248\" width=\"757\" height=\"1370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-566x1024.png 566w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-166x300.png 166w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-230x416.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-350x633.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation-480x868.png 480w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Transformation.png 1816w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 757px) 100vw, 757px\" \/><figcaption>DTN Future of Pension Funds 2025+ Scenarios (Ortec) &#8211; Transformation<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-614x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-247\" width=\"779\" height=\"1299\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-614x1024.png 614w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-180x300.png 180w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-768x1281.png 768w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-830x1385.png 830w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-230x384.png 230w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-350x584.png 350w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict-480x801.png 480w, https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/DTN-Future-of-Pension-Funds-2025-Scenarios-Ortec-Conflict.png 1810w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 779px) 100vw, 779px\" \/><figcaption>DTN Future of Pension Funds 2025+ Scenarios (Ortec) &#8211; Conflict<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/?page_id=225\"> For your perusal herewith some of the driving forces we researched as input into our scenario space.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Scenarios In 2013 Ortec Finance together with The Digital Thinking Network developed scenarios to explore the next decade ahead for Pension Systems. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-91","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/91","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=91"}],"version-history":[{"count":35,"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/91\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":265,"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/91\/revisions\/265"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dtn.net\/scenarios\/earlywarning\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=91"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}